Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →34.5%
M'gladbach
28.9%
Draw
36.6%
Mainz
Expected Goals (xG)
1.22
M'gladbach
vs
1.26
Mainz
Markets
BTTS51.3%
Over 0.590.7%
Over 1.571.6%
Over 2.545.0%
Over 3.523.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.8%
0-1
9.7%
1-0
9.4%
0-0
9.3%
1-2
8.1%
2-1
7.8%
0-2
6.7%
2-0
6.2%
2-2
4.9%
1-3
3.4%
3-1
3.2%
0-3
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).