Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →34.5%
Metz
27.6%
Draw
37.9%
Auxerre
Expected Goals (xG)
1.06
Metz
vs
1.13
Auxerre
Markets
BTTS43.6%
Over 0.589.6%
Over 1.563.7%
Over 2.537.6%
Over 3.518.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
13.4%
1-1
12.6%
1-0
12.6%
0-0
10.4%
1-2
7.6%
0-2
7.1%
2-1
7.1%
2-0
6.3%
2-2
4.0%
1-3
2.9%
0-3
2.7%
3-1
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).