Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →92.7%
Wrexham
5.6%
Draw
1.6%
Ebbsfleet
Expected Goals (xG)
3.88
Wrexham
vs
0.51
Ebbsfleet
Markets
BTTS39.3%
Over 0.598.6%
Over 1.593.5%
Over 2.581.3%
Over 3.563.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0
12.1%
4-0
11.7%
2-0
9.4%
5-0
9.1%
3-1
6.2%
4-1
6.0%
2-1
4.8%
5-1
4.6%
1-0
4.6%
1-1
2.7%
3-2
1.6%
4-2
1.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).