Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →67.0%
Ath Madrid
20.7%
Draw
12.4%
Mallorca
Expected Goals (xG)
1.98
Ath Madrid
vs
0.72
Mallorca
Markets
BTTS44.4%
Over 0.593.1%
Over 1.575.4%
Over 2.550.7%
Over 3.528.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
13.2%
1-0
13.1%
1-1
9.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-0
8.7%
0-0
6.9%
3-1
6.3%
0-1
4.6%
4-0
4.3%
1-2
3.4%
2-2
3.4%
4-1
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).