Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →16.4%
Sheffield United
23.9%
Draw
59.7%
Nott'm Forest
Expected Goals (xG)
0.98
Sheffield United
vs
2.00
Nott'm Forest
Markets
BTTS55.4%
Over 0.593.5%
Over 1.581.2%
Over 2.557.2%
Over 3.534.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.3%
0-2
10.2%
1-2
10.0%
0-1
8.8%
0-3
6.8%
1-3
6.6%
0-0
6.5%
2-2
4.9%
2-1
4.9%
1-0
3.6%
0-4
3.4%
1-4
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).