Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →50.9%
Bochum
28.0%
Draw
21.1%
Holstein Kiel
Expected Goals (xG)
1.54
Bochum
vs
0.91
Holstein Kiel
Markets
BTTS48.1%
Over 0.590.2%
Over 1.571.4%
Over 2.544.4%
Over 3.523.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.3%
1-0
12.1%
2-0
10.2%
0-0
9.8%
2-1
9.3%
0-1
6.7%
1-2
5.5%
3-0
5.3%
3-1
4.8%
2-2
4.2%
0-2
3.6%
3-2
2.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).