Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →57.8%
Plymouth
20.4%
Draw
21.8%
AFC Wimbledon
Expected Goals (xG)
1.91
Plymouth
vs
1.07
AFC Wimbledon
Markets
BTTS55.2%
Over 0.595.8%
Over 1.579.0%
Over 2.557.3%
Over 3.534.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.9%
1-1
9.5%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
6.3%
0-1
6.3%
3-0
5.9%
1-2
5.6%
2-2
5.3%
0-0
4.2%
3-2
3.4%
4-1
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).