Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →35.0%
Hamburg
32.2%
Draw
32.8%
Mainz
Expected Goals (xG)
1.05
Hamburg
vs
1.00
Mainz
Markets
BTTS42.1%
Over 0.586.2%
Over 1.561.7%
Over 2.533.7%
Over 3.515.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.4%
0-0
13.8%
1-0
12.5%
0-1
12.0%
2-1
7.1%
2-0
7.0%
1-2
6.8%
0-2
6.5%
2-2
3.6%
3-1
2.5%
3-0
2.5%
1-3
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).