Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →30.5%
Willenhall Town
19.9%
Draw
49.7%
Swindon
Expected Goals (xG)
1.72
Willenhall Town
vs
2.21
Swindon
Markets
BTTS72.8%
Over 0.598.3%
Over 1.590.1%
Over 2.575.1%
Over 3.555.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-2
8.3%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
7.1%
2-1
6.4%
1-3
6.1%
2-3
5.2%
0-2
4.8%
0-1
4.6%
3-2
4.1%
3-1
3.7%
1-0
3.6%
0-3
3.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).