Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →50.4%
Exeter
28.7%
Draw
20.9%
Southend
Expected Goals (xG)
1.25
Exeter
vs
0.68
Southend
Markets
BTTS34.8%
Over 0.586.0%
Over 1.557.0%
Over 2.530.5%
Over 3.513.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
18.6%
0-0
14.0%
1-1
11.8%
2-0
11.3%
0-1
10.5%
2-1
7.7%
3-0
4.7%
1-2
4.2%
0-2
3.4%
3-1
3.2%
2-2
2.6%
4-0
1.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).