Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →45.1%
Valladolid
27.2%
Draw
27.7%
Zaragoza
Expected Goals (xG)
1.36
Valladolid
vs
1.00
Zaragoza
Markets
BTTS46.7%
Over 0.590.6%
Over 1.568.0%
Over 2.541.8%
Over 3.521.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
13.0%
1-1
12.7%
0-1
9.6%
0-0
9.4%
2-0
8.7%
2-1
8.7%
1-2
6.4%
0-2
4.7%
2-2
4.3%
3-0
3.9%
3-1
3.9%
1-3
2.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).