Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →18.7%
Aris
32.4%
Draw
48.9%
AEK
Expected Goals (xG)
0.66
Aris
vs
1.23
AEK
Markets
BTTS35.2%
Over 0.583.7%
Over 1.557.3%
Over 2.529.2%
Over 3.512.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
17.5%
0-0
16.3%
1-1
13.4%
0-2
11.4%
1-0
8.8%
1-2
7.5%
0-3
4.7%
2-1
4.0%
2-0
3.3%
1-3
3.1%
2-2
2.5%
0-4
1.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).