Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →44.4%
Bournemouth
31.6%
Draw
24.0%
Sunderland
Expected Goals (xG)
1.32
Bournemouth
vs
0.91
Sunderland
Markets
BTTS45.7%
Over 0.587.5%
Over 1.567.2%
Over 2.538.7%
Over 3.518.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.7%
0-0
12.5%
1-0
12.4%
2-0
9.4%
2-1
8.5%
0-1
8.0%
1-2
5.9%
0-2
4.4%
3-0
4.1%
2-2
3.9%
3-1
3.8%
1-3
1.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).