⚽ FootballData
1 – 2
AHT: 10CSV

19 Aug 2025 · 19:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

View all models →
45.5%
Stockport
27.7%
Draw
26.8%
Bradford

Expected Goals (xG)

1.19

Stockport

vs
0.83

Bradford

Markets

BTTS38.2%
Over 0.587.9%
Over 1.559.0%
Over 2.533.0%
Over 3.514.7%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
16.8%
0-0
12.1%
0-1
12.1%
1-1
12.0%
2-0
9.4%
2-1
7.8%
1-2
5.4%
0-2
4.6%
3-0
3.7%
2-2
3.2%
3-1
3.1%
1-3
1.5%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).