Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →90.7%
Horsham
5.2%
Draw
4.1%
Virginia Water
Expected Goals (xG)
5.58
Horsham
vs
1.62
Virginia Water
Markets
BTTS79.8%
Over 0.599.9%
Over 1.599.3%
Over 2.597.4%
Over 3.592.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
5-1
5.6%
4-1
5.0%
5-2
4.5%
4-2
4.1%
3-1
3.6%
5-0
3.5%
4-0
3.1%
3-2
2.9%
5-3
2.4%
3-0
2.2%
4-3
2.2%
2-1
1.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).