Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →23.4%
Barrow
22.5%
Draw
54.1%
Swindon
Expected Goals (xG)
1.07
Barrow
vs
1.76
Swindon
Markets
BTTS53.9%
Over 0.594.6%
Over 1.577.0%
Over 2.553.9%
Over 3.531.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
10.9%
1-1
10.6%
1-2
9.8%
0-2
9.2%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
5.9%
1-3
5.8%
0-0
5.4%
0-3
5.4%
2-2
5.2%
2-0
3.4%
2-3
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).