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DHT: 11CSV

15 Apr 2025 · 19:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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30.5%
Salford
23.7%
Draw
45.8%
Doncaster

Expected Goals (xG)

1.25

Salford

vs
1.59

Doncaster

Markets

BTTS56.4%
Over 0.594.7%
Over 1.577.2%
Over 2.554.1%
Over 3.531.8%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
11.1%
0-1
9.7%
1-2
9.2%
1-0
7.7%
0-2
7.4%
2-1
7.3%
2-2
5.8%
0-0
5.3%
1-3
4.9%
2-0
4.5%
0-3
3.9%
2-3
3.1%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).