Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →61.1%
Lincoln
22.5%
Draw
16.4%
Stevenage
Expected Goals (xG)
1.63
Lincoln
vs
0.69
Stevenage
Markets
BTTS39.1%
Over 0.591.1%
Over 1.566.5%
Over 2.541.0%
Over 3.520.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
16.9%
2-0
13.1%
1-1
10.1%
2-1
9.0%
0-0
8.9%
0-1
7.7%
3-0
7.1%
3-1
4.9%
1-2
3.8%
2-2
3.1%
4-0
2.9%
0-2
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).