Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →30.5%
Cheltenham
24.3%
Draw
45.2%
Fleetwood Town
Expected Goals (xG)
1.20
Cheltenham
vs
1.52
Fleetwood Town
Markets
BTTS54.0%
Over 0.593.9%
Over 1.574.9%
Over 2.551.0%
Over 3.528.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.5%
0-1
10.6%
1-2
9.1%
1-0
8.4%
0-2
7.6%
2-1
7.2%
0-0
6.1%
2-2
5.5%
2-0
4.7%
1-3
4.6%
0-3
3.9%
3-1
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).