Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →23.4%
Dortmund
20.9%
Draw
55.8%
Bayern Munich
Expected Goals (xG)
1.47
Dortmund
vs
2.31
Bayern Munich
Markets
BTTS70.1%
Over 0.597.2%
Over 1.589.7%
Over 2.572.9%
Over 3.552.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-2
8.9%
1-1
8.3%
1-3
6.9%
2-2
6.6%
0-2
6.1%
2-1
5.7%
2-3
5.1%
0-3
4.7%
0-1
4.7%
1-4
4.0%
3-2
3.2%
2-4
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).