Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →36.7%
Port Vale
26.9%
Draw
36.4%
Crewe
Expected Goals (xG)
1.10
Port Vale
vs
1.10
Crewe
Markets
BTTS43.3%
Over 0.590.0%
Over 1.563.4%
Over 2.537.7%
Over 3.518.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
13.4%
0-1
13.3%
1-1
12.3%
0-0
10.0%
2-1
7.4%
1-2
7.4%
2-0
6.7%
0-2
6.7%
2-2
4.0%
3-1
2.7%
1-3
2.7%
3-0
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).