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22 Dec 2024 · 16:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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66.4%
Panathinaikos
22.8%
Draw
10.9%
Athens Kallithea

Expected Goals (xG)

1.88

Panathinaikos

vs
0.63

Athens Kallithea

Markets

BTTS40.7%
Over 0.591.0%
Over 1.572.5%
Over 2.546.0%
Over 3.524.6%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
14.3%
2-0
14.3%
1-1
10.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-0
9.0%
0-0
9.0%
3-1
5.7%
0-1
4.2%
4-0
4.2%
1-2
3.1%
2-2
2.9%
4-1
2.7%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).