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16 Mar 2024 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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75.2%
Hibernian
16.1%
Draw
8.7%
Livingston

Expected Goals (xG)

2.54

Hibernian

vs
0.77

Livingston

Markets

BTTS50.2%
Over 0.595.9%
Over 1.584.8%
Over 2.564.4%
Over 3.542.4%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-0
11.7%
3-0
9.9%
2-1
9.1%
1-0
8.7%
3-1
7.7%
1-1
7.6%
4-0
6.3%
4-1
4.9%
0-0
4.1%
2-2
3.5%
5-0
3.2%
3-2
3.0%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).