Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →20.6%
Fuenlabrada
25.0%
Draw
54.4%
Elche
Expected Goals (xG)
0.86
Fuenlabrada
vs
1.58
Elche
Markets
BTTS45.7%
Over 0.591.4%
Over 1.569.9%
Over 2.544.0%
Over 3.522.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
13.9%
1-1
11.7%
0-2
10.9%
1-2
9.4%
0-0
8.6%
1-0
7.6%
0-3
5.7%
2-1
5.1%
1-3
4.9%
2-2
4.0%
2-0
3.2%
0-4
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).