Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →14.0%
Greuther Furth
16.0%
Draw
70.0%
Hamburg
Expected Goals (xG)
1.36
Greuther Furth
vs
2.99
Hamburg
Markets
BTTS71.1%
Over 0.598.2%
Over 1.593.6%
Over 2.580.9%
Over 3.563.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-2
7.8%
1-3
7.8%
1-4
5.9%
0-2
5.8%
0-3
5.7%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
5.3%
2-3
5.3%
0-4
4.3%
2-4
4.0%
2-1
3.6%
1-5
3.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).