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AHT: 02CSV

03 May 2024 · 19:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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18.3%
Villarreal B
22.7%
Draw
59.0%
Levante

Expected Goals (xG)

0.88

Villarreal B

vs
1.79

Levante

Markets

BTTS48.7%
Over 0.593.2%
Over 1.574.5%
Over 2.550.0%
Over 3.528.0%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
12.5%
0-2
11.1%
1-1
10.8%
1-2
9.8%
0-0
6.8%
0-3
6.6%
1-0
6.2%
1-3
5.8%
2-1
4.8%
2-2
4.3%
0-4
3.0%
2-0
2.7%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).