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HHT: 10CSV

05 Apr 2016

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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34.3%
Fleetwood Town
22.7%
Draw
43.0%
Peterboro

Expected Goals (xG)

1.36

Fleetwood Town

vs
1.55

Peterboro

Markets

BTTS57.7%
Over 0.595.5%
Over 1.577.8%
Over 2.555.7%
Over 3.533.4%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
10.5%
0-1
9.4%
1-2
8.9%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
7.8%
0-2
6.6%
2-2
6.1%
2-0
5.0%
1-3
4.6%
0-0
4.5%
3-1
3.5%
0-3
3.4%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).