Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →72.1%
Lille
15.3%
Draw
12.6%
Bordeaux
Expected Goals (xG)
2.58
Lille
vs
0.99
Bordeaux
Markets
BTTS57.6%
Over 0.597.6%
Over 1.586.7%
Over 2.569.2%
Over 3.547.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
9.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-0
8.1%
3-1
8.0%
1-0
7.7%
1-1
6.8%
4-0
5.2%
4-1
5.2%
2-2
4.6%
3-2
3.9%
1-2
3.5%
0-1
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).