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06 Apr 2025 · 17:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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53.2%
Malaga
22.3%
Draw
24.5%
Cordoba

Expected Goals (xG)

1.88

Malaga

vs
1.21

Cordoba

Markets

BTTS59.4%
Over 0.595.6%
Over 1.581.3%
Over 2.559.7%
Over 3.537.3%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
10.2%
2-1
9.7%
1-0
8.6%
2-0
8.0%
1-2
6.3%
3-1
6.1%
2-2
5.9%
0-1
5.6%
3-0
5.0%
0-0
4.4%
3-2
3.7%
0-2
3.3%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).