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28 Apr 2024 · 17:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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78.5%
Levante
14.1%
Draw
7.4%
Cartagena

Expected Goals (xG)

2.55

Levante

vs
0.65

Cartagena

Markets

BTTS43.9%
Over 0.596.0%
Over 1.582.7%
Over 2.561.9%
Over 3.539.6%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-0
13.3%
3-0
11.3%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
8.6%
3-1
7.3%
4-0
7.2%
1-1
6.7%
4-1
4.7%
0-0
4.0%
5-0
3.7%
2-2
2.8%
0-1
2.7%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).