Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →70.1%
Cremonese
19.3%
Draw
10.5%
Reggiana
Expected Goals (xG)
2.27
Cremonese
vs
0.78
Reggiana
Markets
BTTS49.6%
Over 0.594.5%
Over 1.581.7%
Over 2.558.9%
Over 3.536.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
12.1%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.5%
1-1
9.2%
3-0
9.2%
3-1
7.2%
0-0
5.5%
4-0
5.2%
4-1
4.1%
2-2
3.7%
1-2
3.3%
0-1
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).