Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →64.9%
Cagliari
26.3%
Draw
8.8%
Salernitana
Expected Goals (xG)
1.56
Cagliari
vs
0.42
Salernitana
Markets
BTTS27.9%
Over 0.585.2%
Over 1.559.6%
Over 2.531.7%
Over 3.513.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
20.7%
2-0
16.8%
0-0
14.8%
1-1
10.0%
3-0
8.7%
2-1
7.0%
0-1
4.9%
3-1
3.7%
4-0
3.4%
1-2
1.9%
2-2
1.5%
4-1
1.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).