Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →35.9%
Werder Bremen
28.8%
Draw
35.3%
Union Berlin
Expected Goals (xG)
1.26
Werder Bremen
vs
1.25
Union Berlin
Markets
BTTS52.1%
Over 0.590.9%
Over 1.572.5%
Over 2.546.0%
Over 3.524.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.8%
1-0
9.3%
0-1
9.2%
0-0
9.1%
2-1
8.1%
1-2
8.0%
2-0
6.5%
0-2
6.3%
2-2
5.1%
3-1
3.4%
1-3
3.3%
3-0
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).