Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →30.8%
Nottingham Forest
30.3%
Draw
38.9%
Bournemouth
Expected Goals (xG)
1.17
Nottingham Forest
vs
1.34
Bournemouth
Markets
BTTS52.8%
Over 0.590.1%
Over 1.573.3%
Over 2.546.0%
Over 3.524.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.5%
0-0
9.9%
0-1
9.1%
1-2
8.5%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
7.5%
0-2
7.3%
2-0
5.6%
2-2
5.0%
1-3
3.8%
0-3
3.3%
3-1
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).