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21 Feb 2026 · 16:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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39.5%
Górnik Zabrze
29.4%
Draw
31.0%
Pogoń Szczecin

Expected Goals (xG)

1.31

Górnik Zabrze

vs
1.13

Pogoń Szczecin

Markets

BTTS50.7%
Over 0.590.2%
Over 1.571.3%
Over 2.544.2%
Over 3.523.1%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
14.0%
1-0
10.2%
0-0
9.8%
0-1
8.7%
2-1
8.5%
2-0
7.5%
1-2
7.3%
0-2
5.6%
2-2
4.8%
3-1
3.7%
3-0
3.3%
1-3
2.8%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).