Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →53.0%
Lugano
29.0%
Draw
18.0%
Grasshopper
Expected Goals (xG)
1.62
Lugano
vs
0.87
Grasshopper
Markets
BTTS48.6%
Over 0.589.6%
Over 1.573.1%
Over 2.545.3%
Over 3.523.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.8%
1-0
11.4%
2-0
10.9%
0-0
10.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-0
5.9%
0-1
5.2%
3-1
5.1%
1-2
5.1%
2-2
4.1%
0-2
3.1%
4-0
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).