Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →26.4%
Monza
30.3%
Draw
43.4%
Parma
Expected Goals (xG)
0.82
Monza
vs
1.14
Parma
Markets
BTTS37.7%
Over 0.586.1%
Over 1.558.0%
Over 2.531.1%
Over 3.513.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
16.3%
0-0
13.9%
1-1
12.9%
1-0
11.8%
0-2
9.2%
1-2
7.5%
2-1
5.4%
2-0
4.7%
0-3
3.5%
2-2
3.1%
1-3
2.8%
3-1
1.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).