Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →76.5%
Zagreb
16.8%
Draw
6.8%
Šibenik
Expected Goals (xG)
2.44
Zagreb
vs
0.63
Šibenik
Markets
BTTS43.4%
Over 0.594.5%
Over 1.581.9%
Over 2.559.1%
Over 3.536.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
13.9%
3-0
11.3%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
8.7%
1-1
8.0%
3-1
7.1%
4-0
6.9%
0-0
5.5%
4-1
4.3%
5-0
3.3%
2-2
2.7%
1-2
2.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).