Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →51.5%
Grimsby
24.4%
Draw
24.1%
Rochdale
Expected Goals (xG)
1.56
Grimsby
vs
0.97
Rochdale
Markets
BTTS48.7%
Over 0.592.6%
Over 1.571.5%
Over 2.546.5%
Over 3.525.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
12.9%
1-1
11.5%
2-0
9.7%
2-1
9.4%
0-1
8.2%
0-0
7.4%
1-2
5.9%
3-0
5.0%
3-1
4.9%
2-2
4.6%
0-2
3.8%
3-2
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).