Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →52.5%
Exeter
24.9%
Draw
22.7%
Fleetwood Town
Expected Goals (xG)
1.44
Exeter
vs
0.83
Fleetwood Town
Markets
BTTS41.9%
Over 0.590.7%
Over 1.565.1%
Over 2.539.5%
Over 3.519.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
15.9%
1-1
11.3%
2-0
10.7%
0-1
9.6%
0-0
9.3%
2-1
8.9%
3-0
5.1%
1-2
5.1%
3-1
4.3%
2-2
3.7%
0-2
3.6%
4-0
1.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).