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02 May 2021 · 14:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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27.5%
Denizlispor
32.5%
Draw
40.0%
Rizespor

Expected Goals (xG)

1.16

Denizlispor

vs
1.43

Rizespor

Markets

BTTS55.3%
Over 0.589.3%
Over 1.576.1%
Over 2.547.8%
Over 3.526.1%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
15.6%
0-0
10.7%
1-2
8.9%
0-2
7.7%
0-1
7.6%
2-1
7.2%
1-0
5.6%
2-2
5.1%
2-0
5.1%
1-3
4.2%
0-3
3.6%
3-1
2.8%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).