Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →35.0%
Lugo
32.5%
Draw
32.6%
Ibiza
Expected Goals (xG)
0.93
Lugo
vs
0.88
Ibiza
Markets
BTTS35.3%
Over 0.583.8%
Over 1.553.9%
Over 2.527.2%
Over 3.511.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0
16.2%
1-0
15.3%
0-1
14.6%
1-1
13.3%
2-0
7.0%
0-2
6.4%
2-1
6.2%
1-2
5.9%
2-2
2.7%
3-0
2.2%
3-1
1.9%
0-3
1.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).