Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →38.3%
Mechelen
26.5%
Draw
35.2%
Genk
Expected Goals (xG)
1.45
Mechelen
vs
1.38
Genk
Markets
BTTS58.0%
Over 0.593.4%
Over 1.578.1%
Over 2.553.7%
Over 3.531.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.5%
2-1
8.6%
1-2
8.2%
1-0
7.9%
0-1
7.5%
0-0
6.6%
2-0
6.2%
2-2
5.9%
0-2
5.6%
3-1
4.1%
1-3
3.8%
3-0
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).