Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →47.9%
Luton
25.2%
Draw
26.9%
Coventry
Expected Goals (xG)
1.38
Luton
vs
0.95
Coventry
Markets
BTTS44.8%
Over 0.591.3%
Over 1.566.5%
Over 2.541.1%
Over 3.520.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
14.5%
1-1
11.7%
0-1
10.3%
2-0
9.3%
2-1
8.8%
0-0
8.7%
1-2
6.1%
0-2
4.4%
3-0
4.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-1
4.0%
3-2
1.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).