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AHT: 00CSV

09 Feb 2019

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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64.0%
Panionios
25.7%
Draw
10.3%
Apollon

Expected Goals (xG)

1.62

Panionios

vs
0.51

Apollon

Markets

BTTS32.8%
Over 0.587.2%
Over 1.563.7%
Over 2.535.8%
Over 3.516.7%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
18.4%
2-0
15.7%
0-0
12.8%
1-1
10.7%
3-0
8.5%
2-1
7.9%
0-1
5.1%
3-1
4.3%
4-0
3.4%
1-2
2.5%
2-2
2.0%
4-1
1.7%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).