Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →24.6%
Burnley
24.8%
Draw
50.6%
Bournemouth
Expected Goals (xG)
1.32
Burnley
vs
1.94
Bournemouth
Markets
BTTS64.2%
Over 0.594.8%
Over 1.585.1%
Over 2.563.4%
Over 3.541.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.2%
1-2
9.5%
0-2
7.2%
2-1
6.5%
2-2
6.3%
1-3
6.2%
0-1
6.1%
0-0
5.2%
0-3
4.7%
2-3
4.1%
1-0
3.7%
2-0
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).