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16 Feb 2025 · 13:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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47.7%
Katowice
28.2%
Draw
24.1%
Piast Gliwice

Expected Goals (xG)

1.49

Katowice

vs
0.99

Piast Gliwice

Markets

BTTS49.8%
Over 0.590.6%
Over 1.571.9%
Over 2.545.1%
Over 3.523.8%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
13.4%
1-0
11.4%
0-0
9.4%
2-0
9.3%
2-1
9.2%
0-1
7.2%
1-2
6.1%
3-0
4.6%
3-1
4.6%
2-2
4.6%
0-2
4.1%
3-2
2.3%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).