Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →51.9%
Tenerife
31.3%
Draw
16.8%
Lugo
Expected Goals (xG)
1.17
Tenerife
vs
0.53
Lugo
Markets
BTTS28.1%
Over 0.581.7%
Over 1.550.4%
Over 2.524.1%
Over 3.59.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
21.6%
0-0
18.3%
2-0
12.5%
1-1
11.2%
0-1
9.8%
2-1
6.6%
3-0
4.9%
1-2
3.0%
3-1
2.6%
0-2
2.5%
2-2
1.7%
4-0
1.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).