Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →20.9%
Crotone
19.2%
Draw
59.9%
Fiorentina
Expected Goals (xG)
1.30
Crotone
vs
2.30
Fiorentina
Markets
BTTS65.3%
Over 0.597.4%
Over 1.587.3%
Over 2.569.7%
Over 3.548.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-2
9.4%
1-1
8.0%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
7.2%
0-1
6.4%
2-2
6.1%
0-3
5.5%
2-1
5.3%
2-3
4.7%
1-4
4.1%
1-0
3.7%
0-4
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).