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12 Apr 2025 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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41.8%
Port Vale
25.4%
Draw
32.8%
Bromley

Expected Goals (xG)

1.39

Port Vale

vs
1.19

Bromley

Markets

BTTS51.8%
Over 0.592.9%
Over 1.572.4%
Over 2.547.7%
Over 3.526.0%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
12.0%
1-0
11.0%
0-1
9.5%
2-1
8.7%
1-2
7.5%
2-0
7.3%
0-0
7.1%
0-2
5.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-1
4.0%
3-0
3.4%
1-3
3.0%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).